• Schuyler Beltrami

The 2022 Congressional Midterm Elections – Previewed by The Millennial Agora


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The Millennial Agora is proud to unveil our newest project: A complete preview of the upcoming Congressional elections in the United States! In November, millions of Americans will vote on who they want to represent them in the House of Representatives and the Senate. The elections, which are often seen as a referendum on the performance of the current President and the party in power in Congress, are vital for understanding the current mood of the country and offers a preview into how the Presidential election in 2024 might turn out. Over the next 50 days, the Millennial Agora will take you state by state, from Alabama to Wyoming, and preview every race for the House and Senate, as well as notable gubernatorial elections. The preview of each state will introduce the candidates for each party, what the polling says about that specific race, and what impact each race can have on the makeup of Congress. Each preview will use nonpartisan, empirical evidence to present which party has the better chance of winning in each election and will also offer background on each race. This background will include a short biography for each candidate and where they stand on the issues.

The midterm elections will take place on Tuesday, November 8th and there will be elections in all 50 states. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives will be up for election, while 34 seats (1/3 of the entire body) in the Congress will be up for election. In addition, there will be 39 elections for governorships around the country. While some states will mostly have non-competitive elections due to an overwhelming partisanship for one party or the other, a majority of states will have exciting races which will come down to every vote cast. The elections have far-reaching consequences both inside the United States and for the rest of the world. The economic, political and social direction of the United States can be completely changed due to the outcome of these elections. For America’s international partners, the party in power in Congress effects how much aid and support, both economic and military, is provided to American allies around the world. Currently, the Democrats are in control of both chambers in the Congress. In the House, they hold a 219-211 majority, while in the Senate they are in control, despite the chamber being exactly tied at 50-50 seats (the Vice President, Kamala Harris, is also the President of the Senate and acts a tiebreaking vote, thus giving the Democrats a 51-50 lead in the chamber).


For anyone interested in American politics, political polling or elections in general, the Millennial Agora’s midterms previews are not to be missed. Our preview will begin tomorrow, Friday, September 9th, as we dive deep into the elections in Alabama.


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